Already a subscriber? The state has two Senators, Mr. Schatz and Mazie K. Hirono. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. Nov. 8, 2022, If Democrats hold onto two seats leaning their way, they will need to win three additional tossup seats to maintain control of the Senate. Republican state Rep. Bob McDermott won his party's nomination for U.S. Senate,. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. For the open Senate seat in Ohio, J.D. Tuesday, January 3, 2023. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. . Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. NYT Graphics Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. Chris Pappas, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent New Hampshires First Congressional District. Alicia Parlapiano . Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. , Where Senate Candidates Outperformed Biden and Trump. Nov. 9, 2022, Maryland and Missouri voted to legalize recreational marijuana for people 21 and older, while voters in Arkansas, North Dakota and South Dakota rejected similar measures. Challenging Mr. Schatz in the primary is Steve Tataii, a conflict-resolution consultant who ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. House in 1992, 2002 and 2008. Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. . The attention is focused on races for the governors office and a House seat. They both want Congress to codify the rights Roe v. Wade used to protect and to repeal the Hyde Amendment, which bans federal funding for most abortions. The poll results were not a surprise as we know we have not been campaigning as the other candidates have, and at this point, we are pleased with our favorability ratings. Jill Tokuda, a former state senator backed by the political arm of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, won the Democratic primary in Hawaiis Second Congressional District, according to The Associated Press, after a sometimes vicious campaign that drew more than a million dollars in outside spending. Some 48% of Hawaii Democratic primary voters say they support Green. Cisco Aguilar, a Democratic lawyer, defeated Jim Marchant, a leading promoter of election conspiracy theories, in the race to be Nevadas secretary of state. In these midterms, New York is an unexpected battleground. Compared with 2020 presidential vote in places that have reported almost all of their Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. J.D. August 10, 2024. Honolulu, HI 96813 For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. If somehow Caldwell could turn that around, especially with rail hanging over him, that would be amazing.. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Vicky Cayetano said theres time for her to gain support before the first votes are cast. In response to a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser, she emphasized the need for more federal funding for health care, education and housing in rural communities. That batch will include the remainder of the mail ballots and all ballots cast in person on Election Day. Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. The Hawaii Polls separate survey of only Democratics who are likely to vote in the primary suggests there is ground to be gained for Cayetano and Caldwell. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Follow our live analysis and the latest updates. , Tina Kotek, a Democrat, fended off two well-funded challengers in the race for governor of Oregon. Kennedy Elliott John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Vote counting is already underway, and initial results are likely to be available soon. No election. Wisconsins Senate race is leaning toward Senator Ron Johnson, his chambers most endangered Republican incumbent, according to our estimates. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Jill Tokuda wins a Democratic House primary in Hawaii. Duke Aiona has 27% of the vote while MMA champion BJ Penn is at 24%. The amendment preserved Saturday as the last day ballots could be cast. At the same time, the percentage of Democratic voters who do not recognize Greens name fell from 7% in January to 2% in July. In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. Candidate Total Votes To learn more about how election results work, read this article. November 5, 2024. We are very happy with the support we continue to receive, and I am working hard to help Hawaii not only recover from the pandemic, but to build a stronger and healthier community as a result. Lazaro Gamio NYT Graphics were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. Mr. Tataii has not filed any campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission, nor had he spent any money on advertisements as of Aug. 11, according to the ad analytics firm AdImpact. When asked to respond, Winer said, I helped Kai run for Congress. Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357, International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142, University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA), Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in, Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of, Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in. Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. New York's 26th District. campaign launch", "Ikaika Anderson receives key endorsement, Sylvia Luke has most in race for lieutenant governor", "Hawaii police officers' union endorses former councilman in Lt. Gov. Log in now to continue reading this story. Hawaii has supported Democrats in every presidential election in which it has participated, except 1972 and 1984 , when incumbent Republican candidates won 49-state landslides. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. See the rest of our predictions. United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, in 36 states and three territories. , Vicente Gonzalez, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Texas 34th Congressional District. , Senator Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire was re-elected, holding on to one of Democrats most vulnerable seats in a tight contest for Senate control. Today's Paper. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents in the 2nd and 7th districts may offer early indications of how the party will fare in House races overall. Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial Election Poll Results Quiz Elections If the 2022 Hawaii Gubernatorial election were held today, which candidate would you vote for? The Hawaii Poll was conducted Jan. 24 to 28 by telephone by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C. Mr. Green, who became very popular among Hawaii residents as the states Covid liaison, has emphasized Hawaiis low infection rate compared with most other states. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. Senator Brian Schatz is seeking a third term in Hawaii. Copyright 2022 Hawaii News Now. He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. Nov. 9, 2022, Democratic House candidates outperformed Biden in several Michigan districts, bucking a rightward trend and maintaining seven of their seats. Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Im struck by how consistent Greens lead has been, said HNN political analyst Colin Moore. Greens dominance includes majority support from every county, ethnic group and even 52% overall support from Republicans, according to the poll. Follow along after polls close. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. The Civil Beat/HNN poll was conducted from June 28 to 30 and 1,120 registered voters. Andrew Fischer Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. , Mike Garcia, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 27th Congressional District. Ms. Tokuda defeated her top rival, Patrick Branco, a first-term state representative, and several others. Mail ballots are due by the close of polls on August 13. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Eight of those counties that voted for Biden in 2020 shifted 16 points to the right in the race for governor, and 12 points in the Senate race. Josh Green, Hawaiis second-in-command, wins the Democratic primary for governor. But the main focus of the Democratic primary was housing. Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. He represented his Hawaii island district in the state Senate before being elected lieutenant governor for Iges second term. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. Its giving Yesli Vega, the Republican candidate, an edge over incumbent Abigail Spanberger, though this could be temporary. , Angie Craig, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Minnesotas Second Congressional District. Lauren Leatherby Vance in the returns, but almost all of the results are early votes, which we expect to disproportionately favor Democrats. But so far, voters are rejecting an effort to deny abortion rights. In 2020, Virginias early vote for president favored Republicans, while Pennsylvanias skewed toward Democrats. , Elissa Slotkin, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Michigans Seventh Congressional District. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Our state is at a pivotal point in its history, change is in the wind, and this is an important opportunity to direct our state toward a more resilient future, Caldwell said in a statement. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Activate your Digital Account now. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. ( NewsNation) Hawaii voters head to the polls Tuesday to cast their ballots in some important races in the 2022 midterm elections. Nate Cohn Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Jason Kao Alicia Parlapiano Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. Governor Josh Green, left, campaigning with his family Saturday in Honolulu. Asked for a comment about his numbers, Kahele told the Star- Advertiser in a terse email: (My) official comment is: Why dont you ask Andy Winer?. Fishermen find remains of missing man inside shark, Man arrested after search warrant executed at Waikiki cannabis kiosk, SD Senate committee defeats petition signature requirement bill, Two bills aimed at protecting landowners from over-intrusion by carbon pipeline builders died today in a senate committee, SD Republican lawmakers want to expand school choice, 'The Other Side of Paradise' with Lynn Kawano, KHNLPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KGMBPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KFVEPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KSIXPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KOGGPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246. Cayetano reported $655,407 in cash on hand. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. Telephone: 808-529-4747. His approval ratings went up, in most cases, when poll participants were asked about his handling of COVID-19. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. Editing by Sarah Frostenson. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. There is also an unexpectedly competitive Senate race in Utah between Senator Mike Lee, a Republican, and Evan McMullin, an independent. All rights reserved. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Incumbent David Ige defeated Andria Tupola, Jim Brewer, and Terrence Teruya in the general election for Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018. This goes back to polling place elections when typically schools were used as polling places and would be available on Election Day, Ms. Bueno said. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. [50] Because none of the nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor met that threshold, no nonpartisan candidates for governor or lieutenant governor advanced to the general election. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Vance won Ohio handily even as almost every part of the state voted more for Democrats than they did in 2020. Were getting results from five states where voters are deciding whether to legalize marijuana. Were getting results for ballot measures related to abortion and reproductive rights in Kentucky, Michigan and Vermont. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Incumbent. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. You deserve to hear our thinking. It is his to lose, Moore said. Josh and I have been friends for almost 20 years., Poll participant and progressive Democrat Jennifer Martin, a 50-year-old Makawao tech writer and business consultant, said she prefers Kahele for governor, mostly because Cayetano comes across as too conservative and Josh seems beholden to special interests.. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. Josh Green has always had high favorables, and they continue to be high even though hes been taking heat from his competitors over the last couple of months, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. Nate Cohn He knows that Im supporting Josh. Despite this, Aiona performed 3 points better and received 20,000 more raw votes than Andria Tupola did in 2018. Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations, Tommy Waters, Honolulu city councilmember and chair, Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters (HRCC), Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii, United Public Workers, AFSCME, Local 646, AFL-CIO, General Contractors Association of Hawaii, Lynn Barry Mariano, retired Army Officer and Civil Servant, Paul Morgan, business consultant and former member of the, Peter Savio, businessperson and real estate developer, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union, This page was last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45. Withdrawn or disqualified candidates Democrats will gain a seat in the new Congress, retaining the power to advance the presidents agenda and his judicial and cabinet picks. Greens high numbers are similar to the January Hawaii Poll that was conducted before Kahele gave up his congressional reelection bid to instead announce his gubernatorial candidacy in May. . Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is six hours ahead of Eastern time. Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. Mr. Greens housing plan includes easing regulations to speed up home construction, allowing development on more public land and targeting illegal vacation units. Lt. Gov. time focusing on competitive contests. Honolulu, HI 96813 Cayetanos favorability skyrocketed from 13% in January to 38% in July, while the first Hawaii Poll measurement of Kaheles favorability stood at 30% in July. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. And Cayetano got the most support from Maui. John Fetterman. Read more. This is going to be very challenging, based on what these poll results show.. Under Hawaii law, a nonpartisan candidate must either receive at least ten percent of the vote for that office (32,729 votes for governor or 30,918 votes for lieutenant governor) or receive a vote "equal to or greater than the lowest vote received by the partisan candidate who was nominated" (37,608 votes for governor or 35,798 votes for lieutenant governor) to qualify for the general election ballot. There's a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. We rated every race in play in 2022. Well also be watching competitive House races in N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. James R. "Duke" Aiona takes the win with 45.7% (37,406) votes, followed by retired MMA fighter BJ Penn with 24.1% (19,667) votes and Gary. 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